Increasing the accuracy of the model for predicting the performance of university students

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Abstract

This paper discusses approaches to preparing educational data on students’ learning outcomes to improve the accuracy of predicting their academic performance over a given period. The rules for checking initial data for using them in a forecasting model are considered, implemented, and investigated. The rules help to work with poor-quality initial data and improve the accuracy of modeling. Modeling of students’ learning outcomes is based on a nonparametric estimate of the Nadaraya-Watson regression function. The article presents some fragments of computational experiments that show acceptable results from a practical point of view.

About the authors

D. I. Liksonova

Siberian Federal University

Author for correspondence.
Email: liksonovadi@yandex.ru

Cand. Sc., Assistant Professor

Russian Federation, Krasnoyarsk

A. A. Danichev

Siberian Federal University

Email: adanichev@sfu-kras.ru

Cand. Sc., Assistant Professor

Russian Federation, Krasnoyarsk

V. N. Shestakov

Siberian Federal University

Email: vshestakov@sfu-kras.ru

Cand. Sc., Assistant Professor

Russian Federation, Krasnoyarsk

Yu. Yu. Yakunin

Siberian Federal University

Email: yakuninyy@mail.ru

Cand. Sc., Assistant Professor

Russian Federation, Krasnoyarsk

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