Increasing the accuracy of the model for predicting the performance of university students
- Authors: Liksonova D.I.1, Danichev A.A.1, Shestakov V.N.1, Yakunin Y.Y.1
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Affiliations:
- Siberian Federal University
- Issue: Vol 31, No 4 (2025)
- Pages: 215-224
- Section: Information technologies in education
- Published: 15.04.2025
- URL: https://journals.eco-vector.com/1684-6400/article/view/702292
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.17587/it.31.215-224
- ID: 702292
Cite item
Abstract
This paper discusses approaches to preparing educational data on students’ learning outcomes to improve the accuracy of predicting their academic performance over a given period. The rules for checking initial data for using them in a forecasting model are considered, implemented, and investigated. The rules help to work with poor-quality initial data and improve the accuracy of modeling. Modeling of students’ learning outcomes is based on a nonparametric estimate of the Nadaraya-Watson regression function. The article presents some fragments of computational experiments that show acceptable results from a practical point of view.
About the authors
D. I. Liksonova
Siberian Federal University
Author for correspondence.
Email: liksonovadi@yandex.ru
Cand. Sc., Assistant Professor
Russian Federation, KrasnoyarskA. A. Danichev
Siberian Federal University
Email: adanichev@sfu-kras.ru
Cand. Sc., Assistant Professor
Russian Federation, KrasnoyarskV. N. Shestakov
Siberian Federal University
Email: vshestakov@sfu-kras.ru
Cand. Sc., Assistant Professor
Russian Federation, KrasnoyarskYu. Yu. Yakunin
Siberian Federal University
Email: yakuninyy@mail.ru
Cand. Sc., Assistant Professor
Russian Federation, KrasnoyarskReferences
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