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<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.2" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Informacionnye Tehnologii</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">Informacionnye Tehnologii</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Информационные технологии</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn publication-format="print">1684-6400</issn><publisher><publisher-name xml:lang="en">New Technologies Publishing House</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">702166</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.17587/it.31.451-464</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>Modeling and optimization</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Моделирование и оптимизация</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="article-type"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title xml:lang="en">Methods for conceptual design of aircraft under uncertainty</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Методы концептуального проектирования летательных аппаратов в условиях неопределенности</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Veresnikov</surname><given-names>G. S.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Вересников</surname><given-names>Г. С.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Dr. Tech. Sc., Leading Researcher</p></bio><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>д-р техн. наук, вед. науч. сотр.</p></bio><email>veresnikov@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff1"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">V. A. Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences of RAS</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт проблем управления им. В.А. Трапезникова Российской академии наук</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2025-09-15" publication-format="electronic"><day>15</day><month>09</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><volume>31</volume><issue>9</issue><issue-title xml:lang="en">Informacionnye Tehnologii</issue-title><issue-title xml:lang="ru">Информационные технологии</issue-title><fpage>451</fpage><lpage>464</lpage><history><date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2026-02-04"><day>04</day><month>02</month><year>2026</year></date><date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="2026-02-04"><day>04</day><month>02</month><year>2026</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement xml:lang="en">Copyright ©; 2025, Informacionnye Tehnologii</copyright-statement><copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">Copyright ©; 2025, Информационные технологии</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2025</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Informacionnye Tehnologii</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Информационные технологии</copyright-holder></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://journals.eco-vector.com/1684-6400/article/view/702166">https://journals.eco-vector.com/1684-6400/article/view/702166</self-uri><abstract xml:lang="en"><p>One of the main challenges in organizing the efficient development of modern aircraft during the conceptual design phase is the provision of methodological support for a complex, iterative process of synthesizing and selecting design solutions under uncertainty. Uncertainty is the primary cause of unforeseen violations of critical constraints and errors in the determination of objective function values. At the same time, during the conceptual design phase, the main parameters and characteristics that define the overall appearance of the aircraft are selected. Failure to adequately consider uncertainty in computational and optimization tasks often results in uncompetitive and impractical design solutions. In recent years, there has been a growing number of studies aimed at addressing this issue by adapting traditional, deterministic models and algorithms to accommodate inaccurate input data. The article discusses the methods that are used to synthesize and select design solutions for aircraft design under uncertainty. At the same time, the main focus is on the latest achievements in statistical and intelligent computing, which reduce the time and increase the information content of the conceptual design stage. Approaches to dealing with parameter uncertainty, solving the problem of target uncertainty, and surrogate modeling to reduce computational costs are presented. The main provisions and conclusions presented in the framework of the review study are illustrated by examples from the world scientific literature.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="ru"><p>Анализируются методы проектирования летательных аппаратов в условиях неопределенности, которая является основной причиной ошибок при синтезе и принятии проектных решений. Акцент делается на последних достижениях в области статистических и интеллектуальных вычислений, которые позволяют снизить сроки и повысить информативность концептуального этапа проектирования. Положения и выводы, представленные в рамках обзорного исследования, иллюстрируются примерами из мировой научной литературы.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>conceptual design</kwd><kwd>aircraft</kwd><kwd>uncertainty</kwd><kwd>intelligent computing</kwd><kwd>decision making</kwd><kwd>optimization</kwd><kwd>surrogate modeling</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>концептуальное проектирование</kwd><kwd>летательный аппарат</kwd><kwd>неопределенность</kwd><kwd>интеллектуальные вычисления</kwd><kwd>выбор решений</kwd><kwd>оптимизация</kwd><kwd>суррогатное моделирование</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group/></article-meta></front><body></body><back><ref-list><ref id="B1"><label>1.</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Komarov V. A. Aircraft Conceptual Design: A Tutorial, 2010, Samara, Samar. state aerospace univ., 141 p. (in Russian).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Комаров В. А. Концептуальное проектирование самолета: Учеб. пособ. 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