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<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.2" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Ice and Snow</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">Ice and Snow</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Лед и снег</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn publication-format="print">2076-6734</issn><issn publication-format="electronic">2412-3765</issn><publisher><publisher-name xml:lang="en">The Russian Academy of Sciences</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">688413</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.31857/S2076673425020114</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="edn">FOGKPK</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>Ground ices and icings</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Подземные льды и наледи</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="article-type"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title xml:lang="en">Multiyear variability of aufies area in the Selenga River basin and its determining hydrometeorological factors</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Многолетняя изменчивость площади наледей в бассейне р. Селенги и определяющие её гидрометеорологические факторы</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Garmaev</surname><given-names>E. Zh.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Гармаев</surname><given-names>Е. Ж.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><email>and3131@inbox.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Chernykh</surname><given-names>V. N.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Черных</surname><given-names>В. Н.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><email>and3131@inbox.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Pyankov</surname><given-names>S. V.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Пьянков</surname><given-names>С. В.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><email>and3131@inbox.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Shikhov</surname><given-names>A. N.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Шихов</surname><given-names>А. Н.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><email>and3131@inbox.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"/><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Ayurzhanaev</surname><given-names>A. A.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Аюржанаев</surname><given-names>А. А.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><email>and3131@inbox.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Bogatyrev</surname><given-names>D. A.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Богатырев</surname><given-names>Д. А.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><address><country country="RU">Russian Federation</country></address><email>and3131@inbox.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff1"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Baikal Institute of Nature Management of the Siberian Branch of RAS</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Байкальский институт природопользования СО РАН</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff2"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Perm State University</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Пермский государственный национальный исследовательский университет</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff3"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Kazan Federal University</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Казанский (Приволжский) федеральный университет</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2025-09-04" publication-format="electronic"><day>04</day><month>09</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><volume>65</volume><issue>2</issue><issue-title xml:lang="en"/><issue-title xml:lang="ru"/><fpage>342</fpage><lpage>356</lpage><history><date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2025-07-28"><day>28</day><month>07</month><year>2025</year></date><date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="2025-07-28"><day>28</day><month>07</month><year>2025</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement xml:lang="en">Copyright ©; 2025, Garmaev E.Z., Chernykh V.N., Pyankov S.V., Shikhov A.N., Ayurzhanaev A.A., Bogatyrev D.A.</copyright-statement><copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">Copyright ©; 2025, Гармаев Е.Ж., Черных В.Н., Пьянков С.В., Шихов А.Н., Аюржанаев А.А., Богатырев Д.А.</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2025</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Garmaev E.Z., Chernykh V.N., Pyankov S.V., Shikhov A.N., Ayurzhanaev A.A., Bogatyrev D.A.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Гармаев Е.Ж., Черных В.Н., Пьянков С.В., Шихов А.Н., Аюржанаев А.А., Богатырев Д.А.</copyright-holder><license><ali:license_ref xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0</ali:license_ref></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://journals.eco-vector.com/2076-6734/article/view/688413">https://journals.eco-vector.com/2076-6734/article/view/688413</self-uri><abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Aufeis are widespread in the permafrost zone, including the Selenga River basin. They are considered as indicators of dynamic groundwater reserves and often cause damage to settlements and infrastructure. In this study, a representative set of aufeis in the Selenga River basin was compiled based on a previously developed GIS dataset. Landsat and Sentinel-2 satellite images for 1990–2024, acquired immediately after snowmelt, were used to estimate the aufeis area and its multi-year changes. Changes in aufeis area were compared with meteorological parameters derived from the weather station data and ERA5 reanalysis. We found that the average aufeis area decreases by 3.5% per 10 years. At the same time, interannual variations of the area of individual aufeis are generally poorly correlated. The aufeis area has a negative correlation with air temperature in December, March and April, as cold weather in these months favours increase of ice-covered area. A significant increase in air temperature in April in recent decades may be one of the reasons for the overall decrease in the aufeis area. A correlation has also been found with the amount of precipitation in the previous year and particularly in the period from June to September. The largest aufeis area has been observed in 1995–1996, after 1993–1994 which was the wettest year of the period. The lowest aufeis area corresponds to the driest years 2014–2016. On average, the meteorological variables explain 52% of the interannual variability of the aufeis area, but for individual aufeis this value ranges from 7 to 63%. Such differences are due to the different origin of the considered aufeis and possible changes in the hydrogeological conditions, the identification of which requires field studies.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="ru"><p>По спутниковым снимкам Landsat и Sentinel-2 получены оценки многолетней изменчивости площади наледей в различных частях бассейна р. Селенги в 1990–2024 гг. Выявлен тренд снижения площади наледей (3.5% за 10 лет). Выявлены статистически значимые зависимости площади наледей от температуры воздуха в декабре, марте и апреле и с количеством осадков в предшествующий тёплый период.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>aufeis</kwd><kwd>long-term changes</kwd><kwd>Landsat and Sentinel-2 images</kwd><kwd>ERA5 reanalysis</kwd><kwd>precipitation</kwd><kwd>air temperature</kwd><kwd>water discharge</kwd><kwd>correlation</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>наледи</kwd><kwd>многолетние изменения</kwd><kwd>спутниковые снимки Landsat и Sentinel-2</kwd><kwd>реанализ ERA5</kwd><kwd>осадки</kwd><kwd>температура воздуха</kwd><kwd>расход воды</kwd><kwd>корреляции</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group><funding-statement xml:lang="en">The study was funded by Russian Scientific Foundation grant No. 24-47-03008.</funding-statement><funding-statement xml:lang="ru">Исследование выполнено при поддержке РНФ, проект № 24-47-03008.</funding-statement></funding-group></article-meta></front><body></body><back><ref-list><ref id="B1"><label>1.</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Alekseev V.R. 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