Izvestiya of the Samara Russian Academy of Sciences scientific center. Social, humanitarian, medicobiological sciencesIzvestiya of the Samara Russian Academy of Sciences scientific center. Social, humanitarian, medicobiological sciences2413-9645Samara Scientific Center Publishing House11022210.37313/2413-9645-2020-22-72-51-58Research ArticleMATHEMATICAL MODELING AS A SOCIO - ENVIRONMENTAL FORECASTING METHODChakanushkinaElena N.Candidate of Pedagogical Sciences, Associate Professor, Associate Professor of «Psychology and pedagogy»elenacheka@mail.ruPirovaDiera F.Bachelor’s Degree Studentdi.pirova@yandex.ruSamara State Technical University15052020223515926082022Copyright © 2020, Chakanushkina E.N., Pirova D.F.2020The subject of the article: mathematical modeling as a socio - environmental forecasting method. Object of the article: mathematical methods. The aim of the study: analysis and application of mathematical modeling methods enabling socio - environmental issues forecasting in the process of training of technical specialists. Methodology of the work is to identify the practical application of mathematical methods in the process of developing the competencies of future technical specialists in the area of socio-environmental forecasting. The results of the work contain theoretic and methodological feasibility of practical application of mathematical modeling methods in socio - environmental forecasting. Results application area is the process of training technical specialists with the socio-environmental forecasting competence. Conclusion: development of socio-environmental forecasting competence among technical university students is essential in modern conditions. The main forecasting method, “a probabilistic statement about the future with a relatively high degree of confidence” [4], is mathematical modeling. Application of mathematical modeling methods in the educational process contributes to the development of students' skills in assessing the anthropogenic impact of human production activities, identifying possible environmental problems that negatively affect the society, emphasizing development prospects of processes and events on implementation of the concepts for sustainable development of society and the environment. The developed competence of socio-environmental forecasting among technical university graduates contributes both to the enhancement of skills of scientific justification of innovation proposals, projects, and motivation for development of efficient programs, recommendations for managing various environmental situations that ensure their adequate attitude to the socio-environmental safety of the society.mathematical methodsmathematical modelingforecastingsocio - environmental forecastingматематические методыматематическое моделированиепрогнозсоциально-экологическое прогнозирование[Абакумов, А. И. Эффекты промыслового воздействия на рыбную популяцию / А.И. Абакумов, Ю.Г. Израильский // Математическая биология и биоинформатика. - 2016. - Т. 11. - № 2. - С. 191-204.][Згуровский, М. З. Численное моделирование распространения загрязнения в окружающей среде / М.З. Згуровский, В.В. Скопецкий, В.К. Хрущ, Н.Н. Беляев. - К.: Наукова думка. - 1997. - 368 с.][Зыонг, Н. С. Численное моделирование течения воды на участке русла реки с переменной глубиной / Н.С. Зыонг // ВісникДніпропетровськогоуніверситету Гер. Механіка. - 2000. - Вип. 3, т. 1. - С. 130-137.][Леньков, Р. В. Социальное прогнозирование и проектирование : учеб.пособие /Р.В. Леньков. - М.: ЦСП и М, 2013. - 192 с][Медведский, В. А. Сельскохозяйственная экология: учеб. пособие / В.А. Медведский, Т.В. Медведская.-Витебск, ВГАВМ, 2003.- 246 с.][Роговая, О. Г. Экологическое моделирование: практика: учеб.методическое пособие / О.Г. Роговая. - СПб.: ООО «Книжный Дом», 2007. - 104 с.][Barbour, M. T., Gerritsen, J., Snyder, B.D., Stribling, J.B. Rapid Bioassessment Protocols for Use in Streams and Wade Able Rivers: Periphyton, Benthic Macroinvertebrates and Fish, 2nd ed.; Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Water: Washington, DC, USA, 1999.][Betty, N. G., Turner, A., Tyler A. O. and Falconer R.A. (1996), Modelling Contaminant Geochemistry in Estuaries, Water Research, Vol. 30, nº1, pp 63-74.][Cellier, F. E. Continuous System Modeling, Springer - Verlag, New York, 1991.][Clark, C. W. Mathematical bioeconomics. The mathematics of conservation. Third Edition. NewJersey: J. WileyandSonsPubl., 2010. - 368 p.][Petruhin, N. C., Pelinovschii E. N. Modeling of water flow in the one-dimensional shallow water equations. Proceedings of Nizhny Novgorod Technical University, № 4(91), pp. 60-69.]