Climate change impact on Siberian cedar (Pinus sibirica Du Tour) condition and radial growth in North-Eastern Altai

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This paper presents the results of a study of the state and dynamics of radial growth of Siberian pine forests in the Northeastern Altai near Lake Teletskoye. In total, 10 sample plots were laid and 100 core of wood were taken. The depth of the dendrochronological series was up to 300 years. The research covers 4 types of age structures in different parts of the forest belt of the mountains, from the low-mountain to the subalpine belts. A comprehensive assessment of the state of Siberian pine forests showed that the stands are healthy (the weighted average category of state ranges from 1,02 to 1,46 points for Siberian pine) and do not have pathological died, except for the effects of the Polygraphus proximus on damage to the fir trees. It was found that about 90 % of Siberian pine forests are affected by trunk rot, which is noted on average in 23 % of trees. This allows us to conclude that the natural dynamics of Siberian pine forests is predominantly wind-driven, which is confirmed by the predominance of forest stands of different ages (60 %). Modern climate change since 1976 has had an extremely positive impact on Siberian pine forests and has led to a significant increase in productivity due to increased radial growth of trunks in the stands. Depending on the type of age structure, this indicator varies, but on average the increase has increased by at least 2 times and continues to increase. Previously, during the entire growth period of the studied forest stands, the radial increase did not have such values. If the dynamics of humid climate warming are maintained, the state of Siberian pine forests should not deteriorate and Siberian pine will retain its position as a whole with the expansion of its habitat up the slopes of the mountains.

About the authors

Nikita M. Debkov

Institute of monitoring of climatic and ecological systems SB RAS

Author for correspondence.
Email: nikitadebkov@yandex.ru

Cand. Sci. (Agriculture), Senior Researcher

Russian Federation, 10/3, Akademicheskiy av., 634055, Tomsk

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