Study of consistency of changes in heliocosmic and climatic variables under global warming based on wavelet phase analysis

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Abstract

The relevance of the research is due to the need to establish the true causes and regularities of temperature changes in countries and continents and climate on Earth.

Objective: to establish the regularities and causes of changes in heliocosmic and climatic variables under conditions of global warming.

Objects: time series of heliocosmic, global and regional climatic variables, magnetic fields of the Sun and the Earth.

Methods: the wavelet phase method of interaction of a variable with groups of heliocosmic and climatic factors, magnetic fields of the Sun and the Earth in frequency and time domains, the comparative analysis developed by the author.

Results: 1. In the wavelet phase-frequency domain on the strength of the influence of solar energy, heliocosmic variables, changing barycentric movements of the Sun, gravitational forces, temperature changes in countries and continents, parts of the world, are divided into several classes, significantly, positively and negatively coordinated with changes of barycentric movements of the Sun, heliocosmic variables; distribution of classes of temperature changes on continents significantly coordinated with the distribution of the anomalous magnetic field of Earth with poles 2. At the same time there is a high consistency of changes in geographical and magnetic poles of the Earth, changes in global temperature, temperature in the zone 60-85⁰ N, in the northern hemisphere, in the Arctic with changes in the magnetic fields of the Sun and Earth, solar wind, consistent with changes in the barycentric movements of the Sun, heliocosmic variables; there is a relatively low influence of the solar magnetic field changes on temperature change in the southern hemisphere. 3. On graphs of changes of phase-time characteristics of temperature variables in modernity in countries and continents, temperatures in Arctic zones of Northern hemisphere, precipitation in areas of Arctic seas, anomalies of annual sums of direct solar radiation, solar lights on territory of Russia, heliacosmic and climatic factors determining climate on Earth, received in different time intervals, differently, chaotically changing phase structures are displayed, changing according to changes of baricenter motion.

About the authors

Valeriy I. Alekseev

Yugra State University

Author for correspondence.
Email: v_alekseev@ugrasu.ru

Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor of the Department of Digital Technologies, Institute of Digital Economy

Russian Federation, Khanty-Mansiysk

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