Calculation of the Deadlines for the Implementation of Key Measures of the Moscow Housing Stock Renovation Program

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详细

To ensure the deadlines for the implementation of the Moscow housing stock renovation program, it is fundamentally important to use an up-to-date model for the implementation of the program. The presented article is devoted to the development of methods for assessing the dynamics of the duration of the processes of resettlement of residents and demolition of evicted houses under the renovation program. As a solution to this problem, the use of a time series estimation method is proposed. The purpose of the study was to identify quantitative changes in the values of the average duration of the processes of resettlement and demolition of apartment buildings during the implementation of the renovation program, the development and approbation of algorithms for their calculation. In case of positive experience in the application of the developed methodology, it can be extended to use in the study of the dynamics of other processes in the renovation program. Including when assessing the duration of construction of new houses.

作者简介

S. Semenov

Research and Design Center «City Development»; National Research Moscow State University of Civil Engineering

编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: s.semenov@dev-city.ru

Deputy General Director, Postgraduate student of the Department of Technology and Organization of Construction Production

俄罗斯联邦, 19, structure 3, Mira Avenue, Moscow, 129090; 26, Yaroslavskoe Highway, Moscow, 129337

I. Grishutin

Research and Design Center «City Development»

Email: i.grishutin@dev-city.ru

Head of the Department for Implementation of Information Systems and Scientific Research Results

俄罗斯联邦, 19, structure 3, Mira Avenue, Moscow, 129090

参考

  1. Sobyanin S.S. Report on the results of the activities of the Moscow Government. Website of the Moscow City Duma. https://dep.duma.mos.ru/news/22334 (date of access 10.01.2024). (In Russian).
  2. Kyevskiy L.V., Kyevskiy I.L. Teoriya renovatsii [Renovation theory]. Moscow: Stolitsa. 2023. 527 p.
  3. Resin V.I., Valuy A.A. Renovation program as an effective mechanism for urban development of Moscow. Promyshlennoye i grazhdanskoye stroitel’stvo. 2022. No. 11, pp. 4–8. (In Russian).
  4. Kievskiy L.V. A mathematical model of renovation. Zhilishchnoe Stroitel’stvo [Housing Construction]. 2018. No. 1–2, pp. 3–7. (In Russian).
  5. Kievskiy L.V., Semenov S.A., Grishutin I.B., Mina- kov S.S. Methods of network planning and management in the implementation of territory planning projects. Promyshlennoye i grazhdanskoye stroitel’stvo. 2019. No. 8, pp. 49–54. (In Russian).
  6. Greshilov A.A., Stakun V.A., Stakun A.A. Mathematical methods for constructing forecasts. Moscow: Radio i svyaz’. 1997. 112 p.
  7. Argunov S.V., Semenov S.A., Argunov Y.S. Integrated methodology for forecasting an enlarged cost schedule for large-scale urban projects. Promyshlennoye i grazhdanskoye stroitel’stvo. 2022. No. 11, pp. 38–44. (In Russian).

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