Cytokine storm scale as a prognostic tool of course of viral pneumonia in COVID-19


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Resumo

The aim of the study is to validate the cytokine storm scale (CSS) in a cohort of patients with COVID-19-associated pneumonia to confirm its diagnostic and informative value. Material and methods. The study included 48 patients with COVID-19-associated pneumonia who were admitted to hospital for treatment, and 73 intensive care unit (ICU) patients. The levels of interleukin 6 (IL-6), interleukin 8 (IL-8), interleukin 18 (IL-18), interleukin 10 (IL-10) and procalcitonin (PCT) were measured using enzyme immunoassay, and CSS was calculated. For each biomarker, grade marks were calculated in the range from 1 to 3: at the border concentration of the studied index, 1 grade mark was awarded, with an average - 2, with a high - 3 (normal values were corresponded to 0 marks). A CSS score of more than 6 was associated with a high risk of adverse COVID-19 outcome. Results. When assessing the informativeness of CSS indexes concerning mortality prediction, it was found that it had high sensitivity (78,79%; 95% CI: 0,61-0,91) and specificity (81,12%; 95% CI: 71,2488,80). Also CSS positively and statistically significantly correlated with the NEWS2 scale (0,58; 95% CI: 0,35-0,75), degree of pulmonary damage according to computer tomography data (0,46; 95% CI: 0,20-0,67 ) and the percentage of pulmonary tissue damage (0,38; 95% CI: 0,01-0,61). Conclusion. The developed CSS has a sufficiently high predictive information value in relation to the risk of an unfavorable prognosis of COVID-19 clinical course. The combined prognostic capabilities of the cytokines IL-6, IL-18, IL-10 and PCT, integrated into a single index, make it more likely to identify patients of high risk of death in case of COVID-19-associated pneumonia.

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Sobre autores

O. Tkachenko

I.P. Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: tkachenie0mail.ru
197022, Saint Petersburg, 6/8 Lva Tolstogo Str. Tel.: +7 (812) 994-53-24, +7 (812) 338-71-94

M. Pervakova

I.P. Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: margaritalerner@gmail.com
197022, Saint Petersburg, 6/8 Lva Tolstogo Str. Tel.: +7 (812) 994-53-24, +7 (812) 338-71-94

S. Lapin

I.P. Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: svlapin0mail.ru
197022, Saint Petersburg, 6/8 Lva Tolstogo Str. Tel.: +7 (812) 994-53-24, +7 (812) 338-71-94

A. Masing

I.P. Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: alex_mazing0mail.ru
197022, Saint Petersburg, 6/8 Lva Tolstogo Str. Tel.: +7 (812) 994-53-24, +7 (812) 338-71-94

A. Moshnikova

I.P. Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: moshnikova-anna@mail.ru
197022, Saint Petersburg, 6/8 Lva Tolstogo Str. Tel.: +7 (812) 994-53-24, +7 (812) 338-71-94

D. Kuznetsova

I.P. Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: lariwar@mail.ru
197022, Saint Petersburg, 6/8 Lva Tolstogo Str. Tel.: +7 (812) 994-53-24, +7 (812) 338-71-94

I. Kholopova

I.P. Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: irinakholopova@yandex.ru
197022, Saint Petersburg, 6/8 Lva Tolstogo Str. Tel.: +7 (812) 994-53-24, +7 (812) 338-71-94

T. Blinova

I.P. Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: easurkova@mail.ru
197022, Saint Petersburg, 6/8 Lva Tolstogo Str. Tel.: +7 (812) 994-53-24, +7 (812) 338-71-94

E. Surkova

I.P. Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: tvwinova@list.ru
197022, Saint Petersburg, 6/8 Lva Tolstogo Str. Tel.: +7 (812) 994-53-24, +7 (812) 338-71-94

Yu. Polushin

I.P. Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: polushinyus@1spbgmu.ru
197022, Saint Petersburg, 6/8 Lva Tolstogo Str. Tel.: +7 (812) 994-53-24, +7 (812) 338-71-94

A. Afanasiev

I.P. Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: alex-txf@mail.ru
197022, Saint Petersburg, 6/8 Lva Tolstogo Str. Tel.: +7 (812) 994-53-24, +7 (812) 338-71-94

I. Shlyk

I.P. Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: egavrilova70@mail.ru
197022, Saint Petersburg, 6/8 Lva Tolstogo Str. Tel.: +7 (812) 994-53-24, +7 (812) 338-71-94

E. Gavrilova

I.P. Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: irina_shlyk@mail.ru
197022, Saint Petersburg, 6/8 Lva Tolstogo Str. Tel.: +7 (812) 994-53-24, +7 (812) 338-71-94

E. Kornilova

I.I. Mechnikov North-Western State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: liza_kornilova@ьk.ru
191015, Saint Petersburg, 41 Kirochnaya Str. Tel.: +7 (921) 951-71-88

D. Ivannikova

I.I. Mechnikov North-Western State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: d.ivannikova@yandex.ru
191015, Saint Petersburg, 41 Kirochnaya Str. Tel.: +7 (921) 951-71-88

E. Trophimov

I.I. Mechnikov North-Western State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: evgeniy.trofimov@szgmu.ru
191015, Saint Petersburg, 41 Kirochnaya Str. Tel.: +7 (921) 951-71-88

V. Mazurov

I.I. Mechnikov North-Western State Medical University of the Ministry of Healthcare of Russia

Email: maz.nwgmu@yandex.ru
191015, Saint Petersburg, 41 Kirochnaya Str. Tel.: +7 (921) 951-71-88

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