Flood on the coast of the Kamchatka Peninsula on December 14–15, 2023

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Abstract

The causes, conditions and features of the formation of marine flood on the coast of Kamchatka in December 2023, which arose as a result of a deep cyclone entering the waters of the southwestern part of the Bering Sea, are analyzed. Information on the flooding of ten coastal settlements is provided. To study the dynamics of the process, numerical hydrodynamic modeling of spatio-temporal changes in the characteristics of wind waves (WAVEWATCH III model), anemobaric surge (two-dimensional models of the combined dynamics of water and ice), methods for calculating the tide and run-up (Mase method) were used. It was found that the flooding of settlements occurred as a result of the proximity of the formation in time of higher high water, maximum values of the anemobaric surge and run-up. At the same time, tidal height was close to highest astronomical tide. It is shown that all the factors under consideration make a significant contribution to the total rise in sea level at coastal points, which leads to the need to take them into account in the methods for forecasting marine floods on the coast of Kamchatka. In the coming years, the number and intensity of floods in the study area may increase due to ongoing climate change and coastal subsidence as a result of modern vertical movements of the earth’s crust.

About the authors

Y. V. Lyubitskiy

Far Eastern Regional Hydrometeorological Research Institute

Email: yuvadlub@gmail.com
Vladivostok, Russia

A. N. Vrazhkin

Far Eastern Regional Hydrometeorological Research Institute

Vladivostok, Russia

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