Predicting the recurrence of basal cell carcinoma of the scalp

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Objective: Identification of factors that provoke the recurrence of basal cell carcinoma of the scalp after previous treatment and development of the method for predicting local recurrence of basal cell carcinoma of the scalp.

Materials and methods: 100 patients were studied, including 50 patients with newly diagnosed basal cell carcinoma of the scalp and 50 patients with recurrent basal cell carcinoma of the scalp. To predict recurrence, binary logistic regression models with risk factors for basal cell carcinoma of the scalp were evaluated.

Results: Diagnostically significant criteria for basal cell carcinoma of the scalp recurrence were identified for tumor localization in the nasal skin area (p = 0.01), with a deep resection margin of less than 1 mm (p = 0.03), and patient age.

Conclusion: A formula for predicting basal cell carcinoma (BCC) recurrence has been developed.

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作者简介

Тatiana Ermakova

City Clinical Oncology Dispensary

编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: ermakova.ts@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1899-554X
SPIN 代码: 6016-9163

Oncologist

俄罗斯联邦, Saint Petersburg

Eldar Topuzov

City Clinical Oncology Dispensary; North-Western State Medical University named after I.I. Mechnikov

Email: eltop@inbox.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2105-2251
SPIN 代码: 1065-4191

Dr. Sci. (Med.), Professor, Chief Physician; Head of Department of Surgery n. a. V.A. Oppel

俄罗斯联邦, Saint Petersburg; Saint Petersburg

Svetlana Kutukova

City Clinical Oncology Dispensary; Pavlov First Saint Petersburg State Medical University

Email: dr.s.kutukova@gmail.com
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2221-4088
SPIN 代码: 6735-6556

Dr. Sci. (Med.), Professor, Department of Dentistry, Surgical and Maxillofacial Surgery; Associate Professor, Department of Oncology, Faculty of Postgraduate Education; Oncologist, Department of Antitumor Drug Therapy No. 10

俄罗斯联邦, Saint Petersburg; Saint Petersburg

Vladimir Ershov

City Clinical Oncology Dispensary

Email: ershov415@gmail.com
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8641-1489

Dr. Sci. (Med.), Head of Department of Cytology Laboratory

俄罗斯联邦, Saint Petersburg

参考

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2. Figure 1. Comparison of patient groups with recurrent BCSC and primary BCSC by age

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3. Figure 2. Comparison of patient groups with recurrent BCSC and primary BCSC by BCSC location on the nose relative to other BCSC locations on the head

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4. Figure 3. ROC curve for the recurrence prediction model depending on age and tumor location in the nose

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5. Figure 4. Comparison of patient groups with recurrent BCSC and primary BCSC by deep margin resection depth of 1 mm or less

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