Comparative analysis of the incidence of COVID-19 among the population of Moscow and the organized groups of dormitories during the pandemic


Cite item

Full Text

Open Access Open Access
Restricted Access Access granted
Restricted Access Subscription or Fee Access

Abstract

Objective. To comparatively analyze the incidence of COVID-19 among the population of Moscow and in the organized groups of dormitories during the pandemic period March to June 2020, by taking into account the stages of constraint release. Materials and methods. A selective longitudinal prospective analytical study was conducted in the period April 12 to June 23, 2020 in 350 COVID-19 foci formed in the Moscow dormitories with a total number of3,228 cases compared to the dynamics of a daily increase/decrease in COVID-19 cases among the population of Moscow, as shown by official statistics. Results. There was a direct relationship of the change in the number of COVID-19 cases among the residents of dormitories to the intensity of a daily increase in new cases of diseases in Moscow (r = 0.81; p = 0.0001) in the period April 12 to June 23, 2020. Over the same period, the changes in the number of foci in the dormitories were strongly correlated with the daily increase in new COVID-19 cases (r = 0.72; p = 0.0001). The similar results were observed when studying the trend in the incidence of COVID-19 in the dormitories of the city, which had a significant correlation with the trend in the incidence of this disease in the population of Moscow (r = 0.6; p = 0.00000002). Conclusion. The study has demonstrated the effectiveness of timely and comprehensive antiepidemic measures in the foci of COVID-19 in the dormitories at the metropolitan level. The introduced restrictive measures are fundamental in the formation of a change in the trend in the incidence of this disease in the population in both the megalopolis itself and organized groups.

Full Text

Restricted Access

About the authors

Aleksander V. Zadoroshnyi

Central Research Institute of Epidemiology, Russian Federal Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being

Email: alezanderzadoroshnyy@yandex.ru
Resident, Central Research Institute of Epidemiology

Natalia Yu. Pshenichnaya

Central Research Institute of Epidemiology, Russian Federal Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being

Email: natalia-pshenichnaya@yandex.ru
MD, Deputy Director of Clinical and Analytical Work

Svetlana V. Ugleva

Central Research Institute of Epidemiology, Russian Federal Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being

Email: uglevas@bk.ru
MD, Associate Professor, Adviser, Organization and Guidance Department

Aleksander A. Erovichenkov

M.P. Chumakov Federal Research Center for Trials and Design of Immunobiological Preparations, Russian Academy of Sciences; Russian Medical Academy of Continuing Professional Education, Ministry of Health of Russia

Email: alexerov1@list.ru
MD, Leading Specialist

Vasily G. Akimkin

Central Research Institute of Epidemiology, Russian Federal Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being

Email: crie@crie.ru
MD, Academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Director

Viktor V. Maleev

Central Research Institute of Epidemiology, Russian Federal Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Well-Being

Email: maleyev@pcr.ru
MD, Academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Expert Advisor for Director

References

  1. Губенко С.И. Эпидемия COVID-19. Москва и московская область. Аналитические расчеты и прогнозы. Вестник науки и образования 2020; 14 (92). Часть 3: 28-34. doi: 10.24411/2312-8089-2020-11407
  2. Акимкин В.Г., Кузин С.Н., Шипулина О.Ю., Яцышина С.Б., Тиванова Е.В., Каленская А.В. и др. Эпидемиологическое значение определения РНК SARS-CoV-2 среди различных групп населения Москвы и Московской области в период эпидемии COVID-19. Журнал микробиологии, эпидемиологии и иммунобиологии 2020; (3): 197-201. doi: 10.36233/0372-9311-2020-97-3-1
  3. Кутырев В.В., Попова А.Ю., Смоленский В.Ю., Ежлова Е.Б., Демина Ю.В., Сафронов В.А. и др. Эпидемиологические особенности новой коронавирусной инфекции (COVID-19). Сообщение 1. Модели реализации профилактических и противоэпидемических мероприятий. Проблемы особо опасных инфекций 2020; (1): 6-13. DOI: org/10.21055/0370-1069-2020-1-6-13
  4. Никифоров В.В., Суранова Т.Г., Миронов А.Ю. Пандемия коронавирусной инфекции COVID19. Алгоритм действий медицинских работников поликлиники при выявлении больного с подозрением на данный коронавирус. Медицинский алфавит 2020; (2): 6-13. (In Russ.). doi: 10.33667/2078-5631-2020-1-2(416)-6-13
  5. Gorny A.W., Bagdasarian N., Koh A.H., Lim Y.C., Ong J.S., Ng B.S. et al. SARS-CoV-2 in migrant worker dormitories: Geospatial epidemiology supporting outbreak management. Int. J. Infect. Dis. 2021; 103: 389-94. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.11.148
  6. Koh D. Migrant workers and COVID-19. Occupational and Environmental Medicine 2020; 77(9): 634-6. DOI: 10.1136/ oemed-2020-106626
  7. Сайганов С.А., Мельцер А.В., Любимова А.В., Кузнецова О.Ю., Зуева Л.П., Асланов Б.И. Опыт организации мер по предотвращению распространения новой коронавирусной инфекции среди обучающихся образовательной организации, проживающих в общежитиях. Профилактическая и клиническая медицина 2020; (3): 4-11. doi: 10.17816/RFD57155
  8. Teran R.A., Ghinai I., Gretsch S., Cable T., Black S.R., Green S.J. et al. COVID-19 outbreak among a university’s men’s and women’s soccer teams - Chicago, Illinois. July-August 2020. MMWR Morb. Mortal. Wkly Rep. 2020; 69(43): 1591. doi: 10.15585/mmwr.mm6943e5
  9. Pray I.W., Gibbons-Burgener S.N., Rosenberg A.Z., Cole D., Borenstein S., Bateman A. et al. COVID-19 Outbreak at an Overnight Summer School Retreat - Wisconsin, July-August 2020. MMWR Morb. Mortal. Wkly Rep. 2020; 69(43): 1600 4. doi: 10.15585/mmwr.mm6943a4
  10. Rachael P., Lin В., Maurer-Stroh S., Sirota F.L., Tze Minn Mak, Octavia S., Pang Yu. et al. Reducing spread of COVID-19 in closed environments: an outbreak investigation and modelling study in dormitory settings. 2020. DOI :10.21203/ rs.3.rs-103301/v1

Supplementary files

Supplementary Files
Action
1. JATS XML

Copyright (c) 2021 Bionika Media

This website uses cookies

You consent to our cookies if you continue to use our website.

About Cookies