Forecasting Migration Processes in Germany
- Authors: Tregub I.V.1, Abraimova K.A.1
-
Affiliations:
- Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
- Issue: Vol 18, No 1 (2022)
- Pages: 141-149
- Section: Articles
- URL: https://journals.eco-vector.com/2541-8025/article/view/532085
- ID: 532085
Cite item
Open Access
Access granted
Abstract
This article examines the migration processes in Germany, which have a great impact on the national economy. Based on statistical data from open sources for the period from 2005 to 2020 a correlation-regression analysis was carried out. This analysis made it possible to identify significant factors influencing the dynamics of migration processes. These factors include the domestic national product, wages and unemployment rates. The constructed econometric model allows predicting the level of migration and making management decisions on measures to influence it.
Keywords
Full Text
About the authors
Ilona V. Tregub
Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
Email: ilonavl_fa@mail.ru
Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Professor of the Department of Mathematics Moscow, Russian Federation
Kristina A. Abraimova
Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
Email: kabraimova@gmail.com
Moscow, Russian Federation
References
- Anguita Olmedo C., Gonzalez Gomez Del Mino P. The migrant crisis in the Mediterranean: a multidimensional challenge for the European Union // Bulletin of the Peoples' Friendship University of Russia. Series: Sociology. 2019. Vol. 19. No. 4. pp. 625-626.
- Baburin Vyacheslav L. Stability of the states of the greater Baltic region to changes in the market cycle // The Baltic region. 2019. Vol. 11. No. 1. pp. 7-8.
- Smooth Yu. N., Smooth I. Yu., Eidemiller K. Yu. The spread of Islam in the Baltic States: the fruits of European multiculturalism // Baltic Region. 2017. Vol. 9. No. 3. pp. 33-34.
- Sapir J. Is eurozone accumulating an historic lag toward Asia in the COVID-19 context? // The economic revival of Russia. 2021. No. 1(67). p. 89.
- Druzhinin Pavel V., Prokopyev Egor A. An assessment of economic performance of the Baltic region states // Baltic region. 2018. Vol. 10. No. 1. pp. 4-18.
- Erokhina Olga V., Litzenberger Olga A. German colonists in the migration policy of the Russian autocracy (Analysis of the laws of the Russian Empire) // Bulletin of the Peoples' Friendship University of Russia. Series: History of Russia. 2020. Vol. 19. No. 4. pp. 810-823.
- Jose C. Marques, Ana Vieira, Ricardo Vieira Migration and Integration Processes in Portugal: The Role of Intercultural Mediation // Journal of the Siberian Federal University. Humanities. 2019. No.12(2). pp. 187-204.
- Karnaukhova E. E., Veselnikova L. I., Lobanova N. S. The nature and dynamics of migration in modern Germany: historical and political contexts // Bulletin of the Nizhny Novgorod University named after N. I. Lobachevsky. 2019. No.3. pp. 17-18.
- Kirillov Alexey K., Karavayeva Anastasiya G. For the sake of faith of for the sake of land? Religion as a factor of conflicts between migrants and old-dwellers in the course of the Great Siberian migration // Journal of the Siberian Federal University. Humanities. 2019. No.11(9). p. 1399.
- Kruessmann Thomas Criminal law and human rights-some examples from the emergence of European criminal law // All-Russian Criminological Journal. 2020. Vol. 14. No. 5. pp. 745-757.
- Margarita Urda Responsibility for migration offences under the laws of foreign countries // Bulletin of the Russian Law Academy. 2019. No.12(3). pp. 470-491.
- Mezhevich Nikolay M., Zverev Yuri M. Eastern Baltic: economic dilemmas of security // Baltic region. 2018. Vol. 10. No. 1. pp. 73-88.
- Merl Stephan Modernity and the failure to maintain the peace (1918-1938): comparing the cases of the Soviet Union and the German Reich // The world of Russia. Sociology. Ethnology. 2020. Vol. 29. No. 1. pp. 103-131.
- Muydinov D.N. Main problems of the current social processes in Europe: migration as a political tool // Bulletin of the Volga Institute of Management. 2017. Vol. 19. No. 5. p. 19-22.
- Tilmann Becker, Sandra Link Foreign Direct Investment^ Changes in Germany // King&Wood Mallesons. 2020.
- Tregub I.V. The capital market model on the example of Norway / В сборнике: Forum for Reseach in Empirical Internation Trade. San Rafael. 2015.
- Tregub I.V. Analysis of the current state and prospects of development of the telecommunications market // Telecommunications. 2008. No. 10. pp. 40-43.
- Tregub I.V. Modeling of pricing for additional cellular services in the telecommunications market / dissertation for the degree of Doctor of Economics / Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation. Moscow. 2010.
- Filter Coffee Why and how to emigrate to Germany // Immigration world. 2018.
- Yu. S. Ivchenko Determination of the main factors of the gross regional product level by econometric modeling methods for the totality of regions of the Russian Federation // Statistics and economics. 2019. Vol. 16. No. 6. pp. 4-17.
Supplementary files
