Cybersecurity Problems in the Modern World: Regularities and Prospects

The article considers possible approaches to studying the complex of cybersecurity problems in the modern world, which is characterized by segmentation, anti-globalization trends, aggravation of confrontation between centers of power and, as a consequence, protracted instability (hypervolatility). Particular attention is paid to the issues of defining the term «cybersecurity», the ambiguity and vagueness of the meanings invested in it in various studies, as well as the legal practice of various countries. Based on a critical analysis, the author's approach to interpreting cybersecurity in the context of a hypervolatile environment is proposed. Based on the analysis of the preliminary list of indicators reflecting the level of security of countries in cyberspace, the most significant and representative characteristics are identified. These primarily include the global cybersecurity index (GSI). At subsequent stages of the study, econometric models are proposed that formalize the patterns that affect the dynamics of the GSI. The constructed models allow us to analyze, identify and compare trends in the evolution of cybersecurity in different countries. In particular, the assumption about the influence of hidden factors on cybersecurity that are not explicitly expressed in the traditional system of socio-political indicators of states seems quite realistic.