ECONOMETRIC MODELING OF TAX REVENUES TO THE STATE BUDGET ON THE EXAMPLE OF THE REPUBLIC OF DAGESTAN

In this article, on the basis of econometric modeling, the dependence of tax revenues to the state budget on various economic factors is determined. Step by step, taking into account the highest values of correlation coefficients, excluding multicollinearity, and selecting only statistically significant factors, out of 9 factors, two indicators were included in the model that have the greatest impact on tax revenues in the Republic of Dagestan. With the help of the obtained model, it is possible to carry out simulation calculations in the formation of the budget for the next year, entering different values of factor variables and obtaining forecast values of the dependent variable.

эконометрическое моделирование, налоговые поступления, прогнозирование, корреляционно-регрессионный анализ