Optimization of Shopping Strategy in Cryptocurrency Markets Based on Artificial Neural Networks

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Аннотация

This study is relevant in the context of modern finance, where neural networks play a key role in the analysis and forecasting of price dynamics. The research focuses on identifying buy signals for the BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT trading pairs in the cryptocurrency market. To construct a neural network model that can automate the identification of moments beneficial for purchasing selected assets, various technical analysis indicators and convolutional neural networks (CNN) were used. The research includes an analysis of scientific literature, data collection, indicator selection, signal algorithm development, and the construction of neural network models. The main contribution of this work lies in the development and testing of models capable of predicting buy signals with a high accuracy, confirmed by accuracy indicators of over 92%. The findings of this study can be useful for private investors and financial institutions in forming investment strategies based on machine learning.

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Aleksandr Savostyanov

Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation

Хат алмасуға жауапты Автор.
Email: s.aleks-02@mail.ru

Faculty of Information Technology and Big Data Analysis

Ресей, Moscow

Natalia Grineva

Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation

Email: ngrineva@fa.ru

Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department of Data Analysis and Machine Learning

Ресей, Moscow

Әдебиет тізімі

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  2. Omer Berat Sezer, Murat Ozbayoglu, Erdogan Dogdu An Artificial Neural Network-based Stock Trading System Using Technical Analysis and Big Data Framework // ACM SE '17: Proceedings of the SouthEast Conference, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1145/3077286.3077294.
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  4. Stock Statistics / Indicators Calculation Helper [Electronic resource], URL: https://pypi.org/project/stockstats.
  5. Chuen Yik Kang, Chin-Poo Lee, Kian Ming Lim Convolutional Cryptocurrency Price Prediction with Convolutional Neural Network and Stacked Gated Recurrent Unit [Electronic resource], DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/data7110149.
  6. Keiron O'Shea and Ryan Nash An Introduction to Convolutional Neural Networks // Arxiv. —2015.
  7. Aurélien Géron Hands-On Machine Learning with Scikit-Learn & TensorFlow [Electronic resource], URL: https://prognoztech.com/resources/content/Hand-on-ML.pdf.
  8. Koroteev M.V. Textbook for the discipline «Machine Learning» —2023 [Electronic resource], URL: http://elib.fa.ru/rbook/books137315.pdf.
  9. Savostyanov A., Grineva N., Stroeva E. FORECASTING TIME SERIES OF FINANCIAL INDICATORS USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS // In the collection: Management of large-scale system development. Vol. CFP23GAE-ART, 2023. № 125, EDN: DBWWUQ, doi: 10.1109/MLSD58227.2023.10304040
  10. Savostyanov A.V., Grineva N.V., Stroeva E.N. Application of neural networks to assess the trajectory of development of financial markets // In the collection: Management of the development of large-scale systems (MLSD'2023).Proceedings of the Sixteenth International Conference. Moscow, 2023. pp. 803–809. EDN: FXDBUE, doi: 10.25728/mlsd.2023.0803.
  11. Grineva N.V. Construction of a neural network to predict option prices. // Problems of economics and legal practice. 2022. Vol. 18. No. 5. pp. 190–199. EDN: QKLZVC.

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Әрекет
1. JATS XML
2. Fig. 1.Graphical representation of the operation of technical indicators for the ETHUSDT pair.

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3. Fig. 2.Graphical representation of the operation of technical indicators for the BTCUSDT pair.

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4. Fig. 3.Architecture of the convolutional neural network.

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5. Fig. 4.Comparison of actual and predicted classes for images, for the BTCUSDT pair.

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6. Fig. 5.Comparison of actual and predicted classes for images, for the ETHUSDT pair.

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