Changes of the dynamic of agrarian lands of Russia in 1990–2014

Cover Page

Cite item

Full Text

Open Access Open Access
Restricted Access Access granted
Restricted Access Subscription or Fee Access

Abstract

The article is devoted to the analysis of croplands dynamics during crisis and post-crisis period (1990–2014) in 68 agrarian developed regions of the Russian Federation. Three types of dynamics are revealed: “sustainable decreasing (deagrarization),” “decreasing–stabilization,” “decreasing–growth (re-agrogenesis).” It is shown that the principle change of trends of area croplands is observed in the present days: from large-scale decreasing to stabilization and growth in the majority of regions in the country. It is proved that combination of the bioclimatic potential (BCP) and rural population decrease are those major factors which define allocation of three types of dynamics of the cultivated lands and well describe change of croplands for the last 25 years. Influence of rural population change on dynamics of croplands is analyzed at different levels of BCP. This influence has the strongest effect in the regions of “decreasing–stabilization” type. In the regions of “sustainable decreasing” this effect is the lowest (low level of BCP) and for regions of “decreasing–growth” this effect is the weakest (high level of BCP). Therefore, from the middle of the 2000th we observe a rapid restoration of that spatial and factorial matrix of change of the agrarian areas which was created in the second half of the 19th century and has survived all events of the last century and the events of the beginning of this century.

Full Text

Restricted Access

About the authors

A. S. Nekrich

Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences

Author for correspondence.
Email: a.s.nekrich@igras.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow

D. I. Lyuri

Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: a.s.nekrich@igras.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow

References

  1. Agroekologicheskoe sostoyanie i perspektivy ispol’zovaniya zemel’ Rossii, vybyvshikh iz aktivnogo sel’skokhozyaistvennogo oborota [Agroecological State and Prospects of Russian Land Retired From Active Agricultural Use]. Romamenko G.A., Ed. Мoscow: Rosinformagrotech, 2008. 64 p.
  2. Voronkova O.Yu., Kundius V.А. Organizational-economic foundation of the prerequisites for organic (ecological) agriculture development in the Altai region. Vestn. Altaiskoi Nauki, 2014, no. 2–3 (20–21), pp. 138–140. (In Russ.).
  3. Gordeev A.V., Kleshenko A.D., Chernyakov B.A., Sirotenko O.D. Bioklimaticheskii potentsial Rossii: teoriya i praktika [Bioclimatic Potential of Russia: Theory and Practice]. Moscow: KMK Publ., 2006. 512 p.
  4. Gosudarstvennyi (natsional’nyi) doklad o sostayanii i ispol’zovanii zemel’ v Rossiiskoi Federatsii v 2009 godu [The State (National) Report on the Statusand Use of Landsin the Russian Federationin 2009]. Moscow: Rosreestr, 2010. 249 p.
  5. Russian Federal State Statistics Service. Available at: http://www.gks.ru/ (accessed 17.04.2019).
  6. Itogi Vserossiiskoi sel’skokhozyaistvennoi perepisi 2006 goda [The Results of the All-Russian Agricultural Census in 2006]. Moscow: Statistika Rossii Publ., 2008, vol. 8. 327 p.
  7. Lyuri D.I., Nekrich A.S., Karelin D.V. Cropland dynamics in Russia in 1990–2015 and soil emission of carbon dioxide. Vestn. Mosk. Univ., Ser. 5: Geogr., 2018. no. 3, pp. 70-76. (In Russ.).
  8. Mukhin G.D. Ecological-economic assessment of land use structure within the European territory of Russia during two recent decades. Vestn. Mosk. Univ., Ser. 5: Geogr., 2012, no. 5, pp. 19–28. (In Russ.).
  9. Nekrich А.S., Lyuri D.I. Factors of local-scale dynamics of croplands during the crisis period: a case study of Kursk oblast. Izv. Akad. Nauk, Ser. Geogr., 2016, no. 1, pp. 123–130. (In Russ.).
  10. Nefedova T.G. Major trends for changes in the socioeconomic space of rural Russia. Reg. Res. Russ., 2012, vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 41–54.
  11. Prirodnye resursy i okruzhayushchaya sreda Rossii (Analiticheskii doklad) [Natural Resources and Environment in Russia (Analytical report)]. Dumnov А.D., ed. Moscow: NIA-Priroda Publ., 2001. 572 p.
  12. Prishchepov A.V., Radeloff V.C., Baumann M., Kuemmerle T., Müller D. Effects of institutional changes on land use: agricultural land abandonment during the transition from state-command to market-driven economies in post-Soviet Eastern Europe. Environ. Res. Lett., 2012, no. 14, pp. 7–14.
  13. Tsvetkov А.М. Izmenenie lesistosti Evropeiskoi Rossii s kontsa ХVII stoletiya po 1941 god [Changes in Woodiness of European Russia since the End of the XVII Century to 1941]. Moscow: Akad. Nauk SSSR, 1957. 213 p.
  14. Aklilu M., Bruno G., Kindie T., Lisanework N., Alan J.D. Inter-connection between land use/land cover change and herders’/farmers’ livestock feed resource management strategies: a case study from three Ethiopian eco-environments. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 2014, vol. 188, pp. 150–162.
  15. Bakker M.M., Sonneveld M.P.W., Brookhuis B., Kuhlman T. Trends in soil–land-use relationships in the Netherlands between 1900 and 1990. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 2013, vol. 181, pp. 134–143.
  16. Yunlong C., Smit B. Sustainability in Chinese agriculture: challenge and hope. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 1994, vol. 49, no. 3, pp. 279–288.
  17. Farrow A., Winograd M. Land use modeling at the regional scale: an input to rural sustainability indicators for Central America. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 2001, vol. 85, no. 1–3, pp. 249–268.
  18. Graesser J., Aide T.M., Grau H.R., Ramankutty N. Cropland/pastureland dynamics and the slowdown of deforestation in Latin America. Environ. Res. Lett., 2015, vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 034017.
  19. Karelin D.V., Zazovskaya E.P., Shishkov V.A., Dolgikh A.V., Shorkunov I.G., Pochikalov A.V., Karpov A.A., Antonov E.V., Goryachkin S.V. The emissions of biogenic greenhouse gases from Arctic and north boreal soils due to the different types of anthropogenic land use at local and regional scales: prospects and dynamics. In Proc. of the 2-nd Pan-Eurasian Experiment (PEEX) Conference and the 6th PEEX Meeting, Beijing. Finnish Association for Aerosol Research, 2016, pp. 215–220.
  20. Luri D., Karelin D., Goryachkin S., Kudikov A., Lunin V. Succession changes of CO2 soil emissions from post-agrogenic soils: chernozems as compared to podzols (European Russia). In Geography, Culture and Society for Our Future Earth. Moscow State University, 2015. 167 p.
  21. Kurganova I.N., de Gerenyu V.O.L., Petrov A.S., Myakshina T.N., Sapronov D.V., Ableeva V.A., Kudeyarov V.N. Effect of the observed climate changes and extreme weather phenomena on the emission component of the carbon cycle in different ecosystems of the Southern Taiga zone. Dokl. Biologicheskikh Nauk, 2011, vol. 441, no. 1, pp. 412–416.
  22. Lyuri D. Dynamics of agricultural land in Russia and in the world in the XX century. In Potential of Idle Agricultural Lands of the post-Soviet Area to Mitigate the Climate Changes and Improve the Environment. Book of Extended Abstracts of International Interdisciplinary Workshop. Pushchino: IPBPSS RAS, 2015, pp. 19–22.
  23. Pazúr R., Lieskovský J., Feranec J., Ot'ahel' J. Spatial determinants of abandonment of large-scale arable lands and managed grasslands in Slovakia during the periods of post-socialist transition and European Union accession. Appl. Geogr., 2014, vol. 54, pp. 118–128.
  24. Persson A.S., Olsson O., Rundlöf M., Smith H.G. Land use intensity and landscape complexity – analysis of landscape characteristics in an agricultural region in Southern Sweden. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 2010, vol. 136, no. 1–2, pp. 169–176.
  25. Prishchepov A.V., Müller D., Dubinin M., Baumann M., Radeloff V.C. Determinants of agricultural land abandonment in post-Soviet European Russia. Land Use Policy, 2013, vol. 30, no. 1, pp. 873–884.
  26. Rounsevell M.D.A., Ewert F., Reginster I., Leemans R., Carter T.R. Future scenarios of European agricultural land use: II. Projecting changes in cropland and grassland. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 2005, vol. 107, no. 2–3, pp. 117–135.
  27. Verburg P.H., Crossman N., Ellis E.C., Heinimann A., Hostert P., Mertz O., et al. Land system science and sustainable development of the earth system: A global land project perspective. Anthropocene, 2015, vol. 12, pp. 29–41.
  28. Verburg P.H., Schulp C.J.E., Witte N., Veldkamp A. Downscaling of land use change scenarios to assess the dynamics of European landscapes. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ., 2006, vol. 114, no. 1, pp. 39–56.

Supplementary files

Supplementary Files
Action
1. JATS XML
Download
2. Fig. 1. Changes in the area of crops for areas with the type of dynamics: a) “steady fall” (1990–2014), b) “fall – stabilization” (1990–2014), c) “fall – rise” (starting with year growth and until 2014).

Download (72KB)
Indexing metadata
3. Fig. 2. Types of area dynamics of crops in Russia (1990–2014).

Download (202KB)
Indexing metadata
4. Fig. 4. The dependence of the dynamics of the area of crops on the change in the number of the rural population for the regions of Russia with the type of dynamics “steady decline” (1990–2014).

Download (99KB)
Indexing metadata
5. Fig. 5. Dependence of the dynamics of the area of crops on the change in the number of the rural population for the regions of Russia with the type of “fall – stabilization” dynamics at low values of the OPF (1990–2014).

Download (83KB)
Indexing metadata
6. Fig. 6. The dependence of the dynamics of the area of crops on the change in the number of the rural population for the regions of Russia with the type of dynamics “fall – stabilization” with high values of OPF (1990–2014).

Download (69KB)
Indexing metadata
7. Fig. 7. Dependence of the dynamics of the area of crops on the change in the number of the rural population for the regions of Russia with the type of “fall-growth” dynamics at low BKP values (starting from the year of area growth and up to 2014).

Download (71KB)
Indexing metadata
8. Fig. 8. The dependence of the dynamics of the area of crops on the change in the number of the rural population for the regions of Russia with the type of “fall-growth” dynamics at high BKP values (starting with the year of area growth and up to 2014).

Download (87KB)
Indexing metadata
9. Fig. 9. Regions of Russia, where the change in the area of crops is not related to the dynamics of the rural population (“exclusion regions”).

Download (217KB)
Indexing metadata

Copyright (c) 2019 Russian academy of sciences