Trajectories of Rural Transformation in Multiethnic Agrarian District: Case of Fedorovsky District of the Republic of Bashkortostan

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Abstract

The article examines the ethnic and structural aspects of the transformation of rural settlement pattern in agrarian polyethnic region on the example of a Bashkirian district. Fedorovsky district belongs to the regions of “Agrarian Bashkiria”, the mesoregion which is characterized by developed collective agriculture and high ethnic mosaic. To describe the multi-ethnic rural area of the district, a multi-sign classification of rural settlements is used. The breakdown of the totality of settlements is carried out according to the centrality, determined by the size of villages, the ethnic structure and the long-term trajectory of transformation, estimated through the dynamics of the population during the post-Soviet period. Variants of long-term trajectories of transformations of rural settlements in the post-Soviet period are revealed through population dynamics. Variants of transformation of rural settlements in the district are associated with the ethnic structure of the population. The classification, which makes it possible to identify subtrends of transformation within separate parts of more homogeneous groups of villages, is used to make a forecast of the settlement system development of Fedorovsky district. It was found that the scenarios of transformation of rural settlements in the Fedorovsky district are associated with the ethnic structure of the population. The peculiarities and detailed transformation factors of different settlement classes are revealed for Tatar Izhbulyak, Chuvash Tenyaevo and polyethnic Goncharovka. In conclusion, a forecast map of rural settlement pattern of Fedorovsky district by 2030 is presented. Taking into account the high rate of population decrease and internal differentiation of development, recommendations for the district development are outlined: the construction of a “silver economy”, “shift agricultural development” and the development of social infrastructure in central settlements.

About the authors

L. R. Imangulov

Lomonosov Moscow State University, Faculty of Geography, Moscow, Russia

Email: linar.imangulov.1999@mail.ru

A. M. Ershov

Lomonosov Moscow State University, Faculty of Geography, Moscow, Russia

Email: alexiusershov@ya.ru

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