Assessing the development performance of the socio-economic system of the Republic of Belarus

This article solves the scientific problem of increasing the efficiency of innovation activity by improving the system of strategic planning and forecasting of socio-economic development. It is proposed to introduce an additional forecasting tool: a predictive assessment of the socio-economic system performance. This will allow identifying problem areas of economic development in the process of achieving forecast indicators. A methodology for calculating the socio-economic system performance is proposed. The methodology is based on an approximation to the reference value. The author defines the criteria (achievement and development) that serve as a justification for the selection of indicators and the selection of reference values. On the example of the Republic of Belarus, the development performance of the socio-economic system is determined. It is interpreted as the degree of achievement of the "plan-result" tasks set. Using the geometric mean method, the indicators are calculated; and the index of the effectiveness of the socio-economic system of the Republic of Belarus is determined. A positive forecast about the possibility of achieving the targets reflected in the program documents of the Republic of Belarus is made. Emphasis is placed on the low level of domestic RD expenditure, which, in the author's view, can reduce the efficiency of innovation activities and, consequently, GDP growth rates.

effectiveness, socio-economic development, forecasting assessment, reference value