Prognostic Component of the Civilizational State Modern Russia and of its Spiritual and Moral Imperatives

The purpose of the research. Based on the methodology of political science and the associated paradigmatic component of scientific prediction of social phenomena and processes, the author of the article built his own predictive model of civilizational change in Russia and a possible way to restore the lost elements of state identity. The purpose of the research is to determine the current position of Russia within the framework of the established world community and, on its basis, to reveal the specifics of the prognostic component of the political analysis of its civilizational state and of the spiritual and moral imperatives. The nature of this work is based on the combined use of general scientific and private methods used within the framework of political analysis, supplemented by a basic set of research paradigms that allow us to give a more in-depth forecast of the possible civilizational drift of Russia in the 21st century.

Results. In the course of the analysis, the author came to a number of conclusions, according to which the Russian Federation, having lost its civilizational identity in 1986–1993, was integrated into the North Atlantic community as a “granddaughter society.” Thus, Russia returned to the imperialist state of “decaying capitalism,” but as a dependent element of this community, loss of the historical union of generations. Its inherent characteristics, identified in 1916 by V.I. Lenin, preserved their nature and created the conditions for the inevitable death of civilizational diversity and the emergence of a “global human race” leading to the complete degeneration of the world community. Only Russia can stop this process if trends aimed at a real, rather than a declarative return to civilizational identity prevail and service of the historical union of generations.