The State Program of the Russian Federation «To Ensure Public Order and Combat Crime» Effectiveness Evaluation on the Basis of Factor Models for its Indicators Formation
- Authors: Lukashov N.V.1, Oniani M.G.2
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Affiliations:
- Management Academy of the Ministry of the interior of Russia
- National Research Nuclear University «MEPHI»
- Issue: Vol 17, No 5 (2021)
- Pages: 238-242
- Section: Articles
- URL: https://journals.eco-vector.com/2541-8025/article/view/532334
- ID: 532334
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Abstract
The purpose of the work is to improve the methods of developing and implementing state programs of the Russian Federation. The relevance of the work is due to the need to meet the requirements of numerical measurability of state programs performance indicators, which implies the development of appropriate methods. The specifics of the state program «Ensuring public order and crime prevention « is a heterogeneity of indicators reflecting socio-economic processes, the mathematical description of which is a difficult problem to solve. To solve this problem, an appropriate algorithm and a methodology for its application were developed. A brief background of the system creation for allocating budget funds on the state target programs basis is presented. The specifics of the approach to the development and implementation of such programs, which has developed in the Russian Federation, are reflected. The author's algorithm for assessing the impact is described changes in the volume of financing on the dynamics of the values of target indicators based on a three-factor model that allows you to determine the amount of changes in their values both on the basis of data on the level of financing, and on the basis of data on external factors and internal conditions. The work of the algorithm and the three-factor model is illustrated by the example of indicators characterizing the activities of the preliminary investigation units and the police in the system of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia. Conclusions obtained in the course of the study: a new approach to assessing the effectiveness of federal targeted programs based on the factor model of the dependence of the indicators values on the level of funding, a mathematical apparatus has been developed to increase the effectiveness of state target programs of the Russian Federation on the example of the program «Ensuring public order and countering crime».
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About the authors
Nikolay V. Lukashov
Management Academy of the Ministry of the interior of Russia
Email: akadem11@yandex.ru
Cand. Sci. (Phys.-Math.), Associate Professor; Leading researcher (Management Academy of the Ministry of the interior of Russia), Associate professor of the department Moscow, Russian Federation
Maya G. Oniani
National Research Nuclear University «MEPHI»
Email: maiya_09@mail.ru
Senior Researcher Moscow, Russian Federation
References
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