The Study of the Impact of the Environmental Situation on the Migration of the Region

Мұқаба

Дәйексөз келтіру

Толық мәтін

Ашық рұқсат Ашық рұқсат
Рұқсат жабық Рұқсат берілді
Рұқсат жабық Рұқсат ақылы немесе тек жазылушылар үшін

Аннотация

The paper presents an analysis of the causes of the negative trend in the outflow of population from the Krasnoyarsk Territory. The factors that significantly affect migration have been identified. An econometric multifactorial model is proposed that allows us to assess the causes of outflow, rank the impact of environmental and economic causes, assess relative changes in the structure of outflow, and obtain interval forecast estimates of the migration process. The analysis of responses to the author's development of a6 questionnaire for residents of the Krasnoyarsk Territory for reasons of departure is carried out. The correlation of the causes of migration identified as a result of the survey with the causes identified during econometric modeling is shown. The degree of influence of the environmental situation on the motivation of the population when leaving the Krasnoyarsk Territory is substantiated. Recommendations are formulated to change the current negative trend with population migration.

Толық мәтін

Рұқсат жабық

Авторлар туралы

Natalia Kontsevaya

Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation

Хат алмасуға жауапты Автор.
Email: NVKontsevaya@fa.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9353-5463
SPIN-код: 3574-0050

Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department of Modeling and System Analysis

Ресей, Moscow

Әдебиет тізімі

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1. JATS XML
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2. Fig. 1. Modeling of population outflow on the example of the Krasnoyarsk Territory.

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3. Fig. 2. Forecasting the outflow of population in the Krasnoyarsk Territory.

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4. Fig. 3. The question of wanting to leave.

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5. Fig. 4. The issue of health care.

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6. Fig. 5. The issue of infrastructure.

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