RESEARCH OF THE SEMI-MARKOVIAN PROCESS IN CONDITIONS OF LIMITEDLY RARE CHANGES IN ITS STATE


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In this work the SM-flow in conditions of limitedly rare changes in its states is considered. In the proposed asymptotic condition there is a probable distribution of a number of events coming from the SM-flow in time t. We have shown that this distribution can be multimodal.

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In this work the SM-process has been considered [1]; it is the general flow of flow models with homogeneous events. We shall give a definition of the Semi-Markovian (SM) process. For this purpose we have considered a twodimensional homogeneous Markovian stochastic process {ξ (n), τ (n)} with a discrete time. Here ξ (n) the ercodic Markov chain with a discrete time and matrix P = [pνk] accept the probabilities of transition for one step [2]; the process τ(n) accepts non-negative values from the continuous set. Then we determine the Markovian transition function F(ν, x, k, y) for the process {ξ(n), τ(n)}: ( ) { ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) } , ; , 1 , 1 , . F k x y P n k n x n n y ν = ξ - = τ - < ξ =ν τ We shall consider two-dimensional processes such as {ξ (n), τ (n)} for which the following equalities are correct: F (ν, x; k, y) = F (ν, x; k ) , that is F(ν, x, k, y) does not depend on the values of the y process τ(n). Denote ( ) ( ) { ( ) ( ) ( ) } , ; 1 , 1 . k F k x A x P n k n x n ν ν = = ξ - = τ - < ξ =ν (1) Matrix A(x) with elements Aνk (x) can be called SemiMarkovian.
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作者简介

A. Gorbatenko

Tomsk State University

Russia, Tomsk

A. Nazarov

Tomsk State University

Russia, Tomsk

参考

  1. Lopukhova S. V. The asymptotic and numerical methods of studying special currents of homogenous events : candidate paper in physical-mathematical sciences. Tomsk, 2008.
  2. Nazarov A. A., Terpugov A. F. The theory of probabilities and accidental processes : textbook. Tomsk : NTL publishers, 2006.
  3. Gorbatenko A. E. Studying quasi-decomposable semi-Markov flow потока // The probability theory, mathematical statistics and appendix : journal of scientific article to an international science conference. Minsk, 2010. P. 53–59.
  4. Nazarov A. A., Moiseeva S. P. Methods of asymptotic analysis in the theory of mass services. Tomsk : NTL publishers, 2006.

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版权所有 © Gorbatenko A.E., Nazarov A.A., 2010

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