FORECASTING OF TNE LEADING INDEXES OF SOCIAL-EKONOMIC FACTORS ON YENISEISK DISTRICT

Abstract

In this article presents the forecast of social and economic factors influencing Yeniseisk district over 2009–2012. The main supposition of the forecast is following the existing linear trend of the main social-economic factorsdevelopment with permanence of external factors. This results in the positive track record of the growing investment in the fixed capital that is stipulated by involving large-scale investment projects.

Full Text

Nowadays for being included in the world economic system every region must develop and form strategies of social and economic development, which would allow to find forms and ways of realization of the given regional advantages with the purpose to increase the standard of population living and also entering the markets of commodities, services, labour and capital of other regions. For this purpose it is necessary to expose steady tendencies and conformities to the law of social and economic processes, and also influencing factors and reasons predict their impact on the state and development of regional economy and vice versa. Prognostication of social and economic development is the starting point of work to handle regional economy. The purpose of social and economic prognostication of region development is the adjustment of policy events and priorities in the development of regionall and economic complex. Yeniseisk district is a municipal district of Krasnoyarsk region which is located in the middle flow of the Yenisei river. Since 1998 the quantity of population here has gone down by 7 017 persons and makes 26 324.