METHODOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF ECONOMIC SYSTEMS’ DEVELOPMENT

Abstract

Assessment methodology of the different territories’ economic effectiveness is uniform and independent of a territory’s size and structure. However, certain methodological assessment techniques could differ according to the characteristics mentioned. The complex’s type and special features of the problem being solved are of particular importance when choosing a research method.

Full Text

System analysis of the region’s social and economic development indices is a structure with a number of separate indices. In accordance with the management task it may include criteria that reflect social, economic and other effects of the development scheme. Methodology of the analysis and forecast of the region’s economic system development is based on: – a combination of formal and informal approaches in a system of decision-making; – an experimental approach to the implementation of any model; – mathematical and technological support of a calculating experiment on imitation models. Designing the models allows to realize the existing problem and facilitate the decision-making process, but can not replace the knowledge and intuition of an expert. Due to this, development of an informal approach to the regional economy management is based on the 1 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.7 3.8 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.9 3.10 3.11 3.12 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7