TECHNIQUE TO ESTIMATE AND FORECAST LIFE QUALITY OF POPULATION

Abstract

The article presents the expediency to apply life quality indicator of efficiency for activity of authorities and also the essence of the estimation technique developed by the author and forecasting of life quality of the population with regional features taken into account.

Full Text

Since late 80s the theory and sustainable development practice are in the centre of attention of scientists and politicians in our country and abroad. The tendency to design regional (and even municipal) sustainable development programs which began in the mid-nineties in Russia is still in trend. As a rule the goal sets of these programs have regional concretization and are directly focused on use of available preconditions to stabilize and improve the economic and social situation of the corresponding territories. The question of indicators and criteria of regional stability is in fact open. Considering and analyzing various approaches to an estimation of stability of social and economic systems [1–3], the author comes to the conclusion that all the offered techniques focus attention on the process and development indicators, but do not answer the question “what for-”. After all, the given estimation is necessary not only to compare the level of social and economic development of the separate countries and regions and to drawing up their ratings. Today high quality of life of the population should become the overall objective of sustainable development. The importance of life quality problem is increasing in Russia because the human resource in the conditions of progressive ageing and depopulation becomes the most scarce resource. Last version of the long-term demographic forecast of the United Nations shows that in the long term the population of Russia will be reduced, the middle age group will go up and the able-bodied population share will go down [4].