Methodology of simulation in ecological and epidemiological investigation of morbidity



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Abstract

Dynamic epidemic models for evaluation of incidence and prevalence of infectious diseases were worked out. The models took into account epidemiologic characteristic of two population groups, namely the residential population (the primary nidus of infection) and the work collective (the secondary nidus of infection).The epidemic process was described via ordinary differential equations. Analytical solutions of the equations were obtained. General approaches to simulation of epidemic processes were proposed.

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Yu V Lobzin

Research Institute for Children's Infection, St. Petersburg; Medical Academy of Postgraduate Edication, St. Petersburg; Military Medical Academy, St. Petersburg

G K \Maximov

Research Institute for Children's Infection, St. Petersburg; Medical Academy of Postgraduate Edication, St. Petersburg; Military Medical Academy, St. Petersburg

V V \Uiba

Research Institute for Children's Infection, St. Petersburg; Medical Academy of Postgraduate Edication, St. Petersburg; Military Medical Academy, St. Petersburg

A G Maximov

Research Institute for Children's Infection, St. Petersburg; Medical Academy of Postgraduate Edication, St. Petersburg; Military Medical Academy, St. Petersburg

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Copyright (c) 2009 Lobzin Y.V., \Maximov G.K., \Uiba V.V., Maximov A.G.

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