Analysis of statistical indicators of the population of Saint Petersburg with malignant neoplasms of pancreas

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Abstract

Morbidity and mortality from pancreatic cancer is an urgent medical and social problem. Evaluation of statistical indicators in dynamics makes it possible to identify organizational and clinical problems in providing care to patients with malignant neoplasms of the pancreas. Medical and statistical indicators of incidence of malignant pancreatic neoplasms in St. Petersburg residents are evaluated. The assessment of medical and statistical indicators of the incidence of malignant neoplasms of the pancreas in residents of St. Petersburg. Statistical data were studied for the period from 2014 to 2019. The increase in the "rough" indicator of primary morbidity changed from 417.99 per 100 thousand population in 2014 to 505.6 in 2019. In the structure of primary cancer incidence, the indicator of active detection of pancreatic cancer glands in 2014 amounted to 3.6%, in 2019 — 3.8%. The proportion of patients with diagnoses confirmed morphologically increased from 48.9% to 61.4%. The proportion of patients with newly diagnosed stage IV of the disease changed from 39.5% in 2014 to 51.4% in 2019, and in patients with stage III in 2019 it was 33.3% (a decrease in comparison with 2014 — 15.3%). In 2019, the disease was diagnosed at stage II in 15.2% of patients. The proportion of patients with stage I in 2019 was 6.6%, this indicator in 2014 was registered at the level of 19.2%. From 2014 to 2019, the one-year mortality rate did not change and amounted to 67.9 and 67.4%, respectively (the decrease was 0.7%). Over the past 5 years, there has been no significant downward trend in the "rough" incidence and mortality rates from pancreatic cancer. However, in the dynamics, there was an increase in the number of patients registered for 5 or more years, and an increase in the accumulation index of the contingent of patients with pancreatic cancer.

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About the authors

Vladislav E. Moiseenko

Russian Scientific Center of Radiology and Surgical Technologies named after Academician A.M. Granov

Author for correspondence.
Email: tmpr@inbox.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5058-8821

candidate of medical sciences

Russian Federation, Saint Petersburg

Alexander V. Pavlovsky

Russian Scientific Center of Radiology and Surgical Technologies named after Academician A.M. Granov

Email: tmpr@inbox.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3994-1329

doctor of medical sciences

Russian Federation, Saint Petersburg

Dmitry A. Granov

Russian Scientific Center of Radiology and Surgical Technologies named after Academician A.M. Granov

Email: d.granov@gmail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-8746-8452

doctor of medical sciences, professor

Russian Federation, Saint Petersburg

Larisa V. Kochorova

First St. Petersburg Medical University named after Academician I.P. Pavlov

Email: larisakocherova@1spbgmu.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9016-8602
SPIN-code: 5332-1103

doctor of medical sciences, professor

Russian Federation, Saint Petersburg

Inna V. Dodonova

First St. Petersburg Medical University named after Academician I.P. Pavlov

Email: dodonova@1spbgmu.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9258-4389
SPIN-code: 7483-5108

assistant

Russian Federation, Saint Petersburg

Valentin V. Khizha

Medical Information and Analytical Center

Email: apink1@mail.ru

candidate of medical sciences

Russian Federation, Saint Petersburg

Arkadii Yazenok

Medical Information and Analytical Center

Email: AYazenok@yandex.ru

doctor of medical sciences, associate professor

Russian Federation, Saint Petersburg

Taras V. Yakovenko

North-West State Medical University named after I.I. Mechnikov

Email: jakovenko.t@szgmu.ru

candidate of medical sciences

Russian Federation, Saint Petersburg

References

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  2. Ilic M, Ilic I. Epidemiology of pancreatic cancer. World J Gastroenterol. 2016;44:9694-9705. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v22.i44.9694
  3. Kaprin AD, Starinskij VV, Petrova GV. Zlokachestvennye novoobrazovanija v Rossii v 2018 godu (zabolevaemost’ i smertnost’). Moscow: MNIOI im. P.A. Gercena — filial FGBU "NMIC radiologii" Minzdrava Rossii; 2019. (In Russ.).
  4. Prashanth R, Tagore S, Vinaya G. Epidemiology of Pancreatic Cancer: Global Trends, Etiology and Risk Factors. World J Oncol. 2019;10(1):10–27. doi: 10.14740/wjon1166
  5. Ignat’eva VI, Avksent`eva MV. Analiz metodologicheskih osobennostej issledovanij po izucheniju social’no-jekonomicheskogo bremeni zabolevanij v Rossii v ramkah razrabotki standartnoj metodiki analiza stoimosti bolezni s cel’ju ee ispol’zovanija v ocenke tehnologij zdravoohranenija. Farmakojekonomika. Sovremennaja farmakojekonomika i farmakojepidemiologija. 2014;7(3):3–11. (In Russ.).

Supplementary files

Supplementary Files
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1. JATS XML
2. Fig. 1. Dynamics of the first detected cases of malignant neoplasms of the pancreas in St. Petersburg in absolute numbers from 2014 to 2019

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3. Fig. 2. Structure of incidence of malignant neoplasms (S 00-96) of age groups of St. Petersburg population from 2014 to 2019

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4. Fig. 3. The structure of the incidence of malignant neoplasms of the pancreas in the age groups of the population of St. Petersburg from 2014 to 2019

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5. Fig. 4. The number of patients with the first established diagnosis of malignant neoplasms of the pancreas registered in St. Petersburg from 2014 to 2019

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6. Fig. 5. Dynamics of actively identified patients with the first established diagnosis of malignant neoplasms (S00–S96) and malignant neoplasms of the pancreas, registered in St. Petersburg from 2014 to 2019

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7. Fig. 6. The indicator of one-year mortality of patients suffering from malignant neoplasms of the pancreas registered in St. Petersburg medical organizations in dynamics from 2014 to 2019

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Copyright (c) 2021 Moiseenko V.E., Pavlovsky A.V., Granov D.A., Kochorova L.V., Dodonova I.V., Khizha V.V., Yazenok A., Yakovenko T.V.

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

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